Odds To Win Nascar Atlanta
Including five of those races in the top 6. He had the car to win Bristol last week but couldn’t get it done. Can he get his first win at Atlanta since 2013? Former NASCAR Cup Champion Martin Truex Jr. Is another driver that has been very close to victory over the last 9 years. He has finished in the top 5 at this track 4 times since 2013. Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, below are the complete odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Atlanta, starting with Harvick and Elliott. Kyle Busch comes in with the third best odds to win Sunday’s race in part because his Joe Gibbs Racing team is finding the speed it was missing through the first few races of the season.
May 20, 2020, Darlington, SC, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch (18) during the Toyota 500. Mandatory Credit: Brynn Anderson/Pool Photo via USA TODAY Network
The 2021 Daytona 500 will kick off a new NASCAR season on Sunday, when 40 drivers will try to make history with a win at the 63rd running of The Great American Race. Chase Elliott is only 25 years old, but he's made the NASCAR playoffs in each of his first five seasons, won 11 times in the last three years, and is coming off his first Cup championship. Now, he'll try to add a Daytona 500 crown to an already impressive resume when the green flag drops on NASCAR at Daytona 2021 at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Elliott is 12th in the 2021 Daytona 500 starting lineup and listed at 10-1 in the 2021 Daytona 500 odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Two-time defending Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin will have a little more work to do since he's starting in 25th, but his superspeedway prowess means he's the 17-2 favorite in the 2021 NASCAR at Daytona odds. Before you scour the 2021 Daytona 500 starting lineup and make your NASCAR at Daytona predictions for the Great American Race, be sure to see the latest 2021 Daytona 500 picks from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
The model began the 2020 season paying out big by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami.
At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Then during the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs, the model nailed its picks in back-to-back races, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, his model simulated the 2021 NASCAR at Daytona race 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard for the 2021 Daytona 500.
Top 2021 Daytona 500 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Aric Almirola, even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Daytona odds 2021 from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Almirola's confidence should be soaring after a win in the first 2021 Bluegreen Vacations Duel at Daytona, which resulted in a second-row starting spot with inside position.
The 36-year-old has made the playoffs the last three seasons, while superspeedways have been the site of both of his NASCAR Cup Series victories. Almirola won the 2018 1000bulbs.com 500 at Talladega and the 2014 Coke Zero 400 at Daytona. Stewart-Haas Racing also has Kevin Harvick starting inside the top 10 (eighth), so look for Almirola and Harvick to link up early and climb the 2021 Daytona 500 leaderboard.
Nascar Odds Today
And a massive shocker: Chase Elliott, one of the top Vegas favorites at 10-1, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2021 Daytona 500 lineup. The 2020 NASCAR Cup Series champion is 12th in the 2021 Daytona 500 starting grid.
Elliott finished second at Daytona last August, but that was his first career top-10 finish in 10 starts at the track. In fact, he'd never finished higher than 14th at this iconic venue, and he's finished 17th or worse in his last three Daytona 500s. His low odds, combined with his lack of success at Daytona, make him one of the drivers to fade at the Daytona 500 2021.
How to make 2021 NASCAR at Daytona picks
The model is also targeting three other drivers with NASCAR at Daytona odds of 13-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all the NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
So who wins the 2021 Daytona 500? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest 2021 Daytona 500 odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2021 Daytona 500 leaderboard, all from the model that nailed Hamlin's win last season.
2021 Daytona 500 odds
Denny Hamlin 17-2
Chase Elliott 10-1
Joey Logano 11-1
Kyle Larson 11-1
Ryan Blaney 11-1
Brad Keselowski 12-1
William Byron 13-1
Video: NASCAR drivers return for 63rd Daytona 500 (NBC Sports)
Kevin Harvick 13-1
Alex Bowman 13-1
Kyle Busch 14-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
Aric Almirola 16-1
Kurt Busch 22-1
Bubba Wallace 22-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 25-1
Christopher Bell 28-1
Austin Dillon 30-1
Ross Chastain 35-1
Matt DiBenedetto 35-1
Ryan Newman 40-1
Tyler Reddick 55-1
Cole Custer 60-1
Austin Cindric 60-1
Jamie McMurray 60-1
Erik Jones 60-1
Chris Buescher 65-1
Chase Briscoe 70-1
Daniel Suarez 100-1
Michael McDowell 100-1
David Ragan 125-1
Corey Lajoie 125-1
Ryan Preece 200-1
Anthony Alfredo 250-1
Kaz Grala 250-1
BJ McLeod 1000-1
Cody Ware 1000-1
Quin Houff 1000-1
Joey Gase 1000-1
Josh Bilicki 1000-1
Derrike Cope 2000-1
NASCAR Cup Betting Resources
Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 Picks
Date: Sunday, June 7, 2020
Venue: Atlanta Motor Speedway
Location: Hampton, Georgia
Television-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
Chase Elliott is a solid contender on the NASCAR series and is a top pick to win Sunday's Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 from Atlanta. (AP)
Handicapping NASCAR at Atlanta
Sunday’s Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway will be the 10th race of the scrambled 2020 season and also be the seventh race using the race package featuring engines with 550 horsepower meaning we have lots of relevant data to sort through before betting.
The first six races with this package have been won by six different drivers showing parity to be alive and well offering some entertaining races with lots of different lap leaders.
The Atlanta race was originally scheduled to be the fifth race of the season on March 15 and became the first casualty of the season for NASCAR due to the global coronavirus pandemic, which has been forgotten by all in the media due to the recent riots being the top daily story.
But NASCAR has been part of the recovery process for fans being cooped up at home with no sports on TV as many of the other sports haggle about money. NASCAR was the first live sport back on network TV on May 17 after having a string of eNASCAR events that a few Las Vegas sportsbooks posted odds on and the TV ratings were good.
It seems like so long ago because NASCAR is playing catch-up with the schedule to get all 36 races completed on the season. They’ve given us five traces to handicap since May 17, which includes two midweek races at Darlington and Charlotte. I know I keep saying it, but NASCAR backed into a winner with the weekday night races, something I hope they continue to do in seasons to come. I have the feeling the drivers like it as well.
“I think the procedures and everything has been really smooth, really easy,” Kyle Busch said. “I compliment and applaud NASCAR as much as possible just on their efforts and the things that they’ve done in order to go through and get us to this point to have us an opportunity to go out here and put on a show for the fans on television. Obviously, we miss having the fans at the racetrack, but it’s a great effort by everybody involved to get us to this point. It’s been way smoother than I thought it was going to be and I hope that it continues to be as smooth and seamless as possible for everybody, and we can get through a couple months of just getting back with our feet going and getting the show going. And then maybe we can get back to a little more normalcy here in, I don’t know, say a couple months.”
NASCAR Cup Odds - Atlanta
- Kevin Harvick +500
- Kyle Busch +650
- Chase Elliott +650
- Alex Bowman +800
- Joey Logano +900
- Martin Truex Jr. +900
- Brad Keselowski +900
- Denny Hamlin +1100
- Ryan Blaney +1600
- Kurt Busch +1600
- Jimmie Johnson +1800
- (Odds Subject to Change)
NASCAR Trends
Another New Winner?
Of the five races run since coming back from the shutdown, four of them have been run with this week’s race package between Darlington and Charlotte. Atlanta is Charlotte’s sister-track and they’re almost identical 1.5-mile high-banked layouts with the main difference being the worn abrasive surface at Atlanta which takes a special kind of driver to win.
Brad Keselowski won the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte and then Chase Elliott won the shorter Alsco 500K last Thursday at Charlotte. Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin each won at Darlington and if we go to the races before the shutdown we have Joey Logano winning at Las Vegas thanks to late pit strategy and Alex Bowman dominating at Fontana. Six races, six different winners.
Who might be the top contenders to be the seventh different driver to win this season?
Ryan Blaney first comes to mind because he’s been solid with this package, but the best value might be Erik Jones who is offered at 32-to-1 odds to win Circa Sports in Las Vegas. He had a career-best seventh-place at Atlanta last season and has a 10.6 average finish in three Cup starts. For a young driver, he’s proved to be one of the best at saving tires on abrasive surfaces.
After that, maybe it’s Martin Truex Jr. who led the series with seven wins last season but has yet to have a top-five in nine races so far. And what’s up with Kyle Busch having no wins? He’s a two-time winner at Atlanta. He hasn’t led a lot of laps this season but he does have five top-five finishes which are tied for the most with Kevin Harvick.
Atlanta - Drivers to Watch
Best Value at the Sportsbook
Here’s a look at my top NASCAR drivers to watch along with fair odds, picks and predictions.
Chase Elliott (7/1)
It doesn’t matter what race package he’s using because chances are he’s going to have a car capable of winning. He’s been on a roll all season, but only has one win to show for it -- the last race at Charlotte using this week’s race package. In four Cup starts at Atlanta, he’s averaged a 10th-place finish which is tops among active drivers. Atlanta is his home track. This is a great spot for him to win.
Alex Bowman (9/1)
He’s never had a finish better than 15th in four Cup races at Atlanta, but he’s quickly becoming one of the best. Whenever he’s on a cookie-cutter track like Atlanta, Charlotte, or Fontana he should be part of the betting mix to win.
Brad Keselowski (10/1)
He comes in with the momentum of winning two of the last three races on the schedule while also winning two of the last three races at Atlanta. The race he didn’t win in 2018 he was runner-up. That’s about as good as it gets and why he should be in your odds to win wagering equation.
Ryan Blaney (14/1)
His best Atlanta finish was 12th in 2018 and last season he led 41 laps before finishing 22nd. He’s been up and down all season so far, but he’s had a car capable of winning in four of the six races using this race package, including third-place in both Charlotte races. Luck has to swing his way soon. I’m certain he’ll have another fast car and the track isn’t all that tricky like Darlington is. Blaney could become the new cookie-cutter King.
Denny Hamlin (12/1)
His lone Atlanta win was in 2012 and he’s had a couple of early exits since then there, but I like how his team is set with this week’s race package which includes a win at Darlington and a fast-charging runner-up at Charlotte. He may be the best at saving his tires for long runs on sandpaper surfaces, and Atlanta’s got a rough one.
Kevin Harvick (7/1)
He’s a two-time winner, including his first cup win in 2001 just two weeks after taking over the No. 3 team. He leads all active drivers with 1,197 laps led, and probably should have at least four wins. In his last eight Atlanta starts he’s led at least 101 laps in six of those and had the best car in four of those, but only came away with a 2018 win. He’s got top-10s in all six races using this week’s race package leading laps in four of them.
Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500
Top-5 Finish Prediction
1) #9 Chase Elliott (7/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
2) #88 Alex Bowman (9/1) Bet Now at DraftKings
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (10/1)
4) #12 Ryan Blaney (14/1)
5) #11 Denny Hamlin (12/1)
NASCAR Cup Series
Weekly Predictions
eNASCAR Picks - Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS)
For bettors looking at a larger score and more action, they can turn their attention to eNASCAR DFS. To learn more, check out our beginner's guide to eNASCAR daily fantasy sports.